“It’s important to have a sound idea, but the really important thing is the implementation.”
“The one term I don’t like to be called is a ‘vulture.’ Because to me, a vulture is a kind of asset-stripper that eats dead flesh off the bones of a dead creature. Our bird should be the phoenix, the bird that reinvents itself, recreates itself from its ashes. And that’s much closer to what it is that we really do.”
“Regulations don’t solve things. Supervision solves things. If we could figure out that the subprime thing was a train wreck that was coming, where were the regulators?”
“I don’t think there’s anything inherently wrong with a bank being big. In fact, there are some good arguments about universality of geography that in theory, if you have all your eggs in one little community, and some big employer goes out, that could be your downfall.”
“To me, the most terrifying form of warfare would be if there was some simultaneous cyber attack on our grid, on the banking system, and on our transportation system. That would be quite a devastating thing, and yet in theory, absent some real protective measures, that could happen.”
“Everybody talks about tariffs as the first thing. Tariffs are the last thing. Tariffs are part of the negotiation. The real trick is going to be increase American exports. Get rid of some of the tariff and non-tariff barriers to American exports.”
“The E.U., China, and Japan all talk free trade, and they all practice protectionism.”
“Many of the smaller banks have had to get to the point where they now have more compliance people than they have lending offices. That’s crazy.”
“I think there’s a big difference between the impact of trade agreements on corporate America and the impact on Mr. and Mrs. America. Corporate America has adjusted to them by investing lots of capital offshore… What we’re doing is we’re exporting jobs and importing products instead of exporting products and keeping jobs.”
“The reality is if something were to happen that cost China jobs – like, if they upwardly revalued the currency a lot – those jobs aren’t going to come back to the U.S. They would go to Vietnam; they would go to Thailand. They would go to whatever country was the lowest cost.”
“We are the world’s biggest importer. We need to treat the other countries as good suppliers.”
“We’re in a trade war. We’ve been in a trade war for decades. That’s why we have the deficit.”
“Generally speaking, companies get into bankruptcy as a kind of meritocracy. Somebody made some sort of big mistake, to get into bankruptcy, and very often, a part of the mistake is too much leverage.”
“My wife Hillary sometimes accuses me of trying to reinvent the 19th century. In some ways she’s right because I like things that I can understand and that aren’t too complicated.”
“I see myself as a private-equity investor that helps rebuild companies. Restructuring is a cottage industry in that there aren’t that many serious practitioners.”
“Between the Community Redevelopment Act, requiring banks to make what I would call very weak loans, and specific quotas that the Congress imposed on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, that created the market demand that really led to the subprime phenomenon.”
“I think it’s natural for any manager to want to grow his business. The question is at what rate, and in what direction, and in what format?”
“Banking, I would argue, is the most heavily regulated industry in the world. Regulations don’t solve things. Supervision solves things.”
“Shipping has a great oversupply of vessels that came from over-ordering a few years back. We think 2014 may be when it turns around.”
“You cannot just keep borrowing more and more and keep spending more and more without eventually having a day of reckoning.”
“Shale gas, if left to flourish, could create several hundred thousand more jobs.”
“I think at the end of the day, the real sick man of Europe is liable to turn out to be France, not Greece, not Portugal, not Spain, not Italy. The reason is France is very uncompetitive to begin with on a global scale, and the measures that Hollande has been putting in have been very, very negative from the point of view of economic growth.”
“The typical big Japanese company has somewhere between a third and 40 percent of its revenues coming from developing countries, and about a third of Japan’s exports are also to the emerging countries, so in a strange way, Japan, which has very little internal growth, its big companies are a good way to play the emerging markets.”
“There is no evidence that more regulation makes things better. The most highly regulated industry in America is commercial banking, and that didn’t save those institutions from making terrible decisions.”
“The fundamentals are the U.S. is going to end up being a net exporter of natural gas. That’s going to be wonderful to help our balance of payments, reduce our dependence on a lot of countries that aren’t so crazy about us, and change many, many parts of what goes on here.”
“Each weekend I play at least one and maybe two sets of tennis a day. My doubles team was in the finals recently at my tennis club in Palm Beach and lost a tiebreaker after a three-hour match. I must confess, by the end of the three hours, I was relieved it was over.”
“Ships are a strange kind of commodity because they’re very lumpy, very big individual units, but they’re commodities.”
“If you want to do something to destroy consumer spending, just eat away at the middle class because the other problem we have is the structural problem of middle class America.”
“Mexico has 44 treaties with other countries that make it very advantageous to do international shipping from Mexico rather than from the United States. Believe it or not, Mexico has better treaties with the rest of the world than the United States does.”
“The problem with regional trade agreements is you get picked apart by the first country. Then you negotiate with the second country. You get picked apart. And you go with the third one. You get picked apart again.”
“Part of the reason why I’m supporting Trump is that I think we need a more radical, new approach to government – at least in the U.S. – from what we’ve had before.”
“If you add up all the promises any politician makes, the math doesn’t work. Hillary Clinton’s math doesn’t work; Donald’s math probably doesn’t work. I think you have to listen to their campaign pitches more as symbolic, more as metaphors.”
“China is the world’s biggest exporter, but they’re also the people with one of the highest tariffs on imports in the whole world. That seems a little bit oxymoronic.”
“The fact that you’re successful doesn’t mean that you can’t relate to working people.”
“Washington, D.C., is the new Wall Street. No significant financial transaction of any consequence occurs without it.”
“We think, over the long term, the real key to value of a bank is does it have true deposits from true long-term customers? People who actually know the bank, live in the neighborhood, work there, maybe have a mortgage there, credit card… That, to us, is the key to a bank.”
“There isn’t a bank in the world that could withstand a run. They all borrow short and lend long, regardless of what they say.”
“If you think about it: a big bank in any country, what is it? Really, as an investment, it’s a warrant on economy.”
“Confrontational things, admission of error, admission of defeat, restructuring, laying people off – those are not American ideals.”
“One of the problems with industries that have been in relatively long-term declines is that, very often, the managements in those industries develop a kind of loser mentality. And when you ask them what’s wrong with the business, they’ll point to extraneous forces.”
“Absent some international interruption, there’s no real justification for oil being more than $90 or $100 a barrel.”
“Hillary Clinton can’t tell a good trade deal from bad one.”
“China is the most protectionist country of the very large countries. They talk more about free trade than they actually practice.”
“I am not anti-trade. I am pro-trade. But I am pro-sensible trade.”
“I’m a very big proponent of cloud. We’ve used it a lot in private sector, and as far as we can tell, it is not only more efficient, it’s probably also more secure for lots of very complicated technical reasons. I think it’s a very important thing for government to do, and also to have systems that talk to each other.”
“Barring some national security concern, I see no valid reason to keep peer-reviewed research from the public. To be clear, by ‘peer review,’ I mean scientific review and not a political filter.”
“The way we’ll get more jobs is by creating new industries, new companies, businesses that are higher tech and therefore can compete.”
“I think what we have to do is figure out how to make sure we get the benefits of improved technology and yet cope with the dislocation that it will inevitably produce in certain industries.”
“The United States is the least protectionist country in the world but has the largest trade deficit, while other countries are highly protectionist and have huge trade surpluses. This cannot continue.”
“I believe in the two-party system.”
“If you add up all the promises any politicians makes, the math doesn’t work.”
“My obligation is to disclose companies in which I’m an officer, a director, or an investor.”
“A company not under sanction is just like any other company, period.”
“Enforcement is a very important part of the administration strategy. We think that even our friendly nations should live by the rules, and if they don’t, we will intend to enforce things against them.”
“We’ll be aggressive on trade because we know that deals that have been made historically have resulted in the great loss of manufacturing jobs, a great amount of closed manufacturing businesses. We don’t want that to continue.”
“NAFTA is an ancient treaty.”
“Mexico has 44 treaties with other countries that make it very advantageous to do international shipping from Mexico rather than from the United States.”
“Believe it or not, Mexico has better treaties with the rest of the world than the Unites States does.”
“There’s trade, there’s sensible trade, and there’s dumb trade.”
“I believe if we and the Mexicans make a very sensible trade agreement, the Mexican peso will recover quite a lot.”
“The rules of origin in NAFTA need some tightening. Rules of origin are what let material outside of NAFTA to come in and benefit from all the taxes and tariff reductions within NAFTA.”
“The whole idea of a trade deal is to build a fence around participants inside and give them an advantage over the outside. So there’s a conceptual flaw in that, one of many conceptual flaws in NAFTA.”
“In many critical things, such as the very high purity of the aluminium we need in aerospace, we only have one producer. That’s not a good formula.”
“If people know you have the big bazooka, you probably don’t have to use it.”
“There are deep value opportunities in insurance stocks, which were beaten down because of their exposure to the subprime crisis, annuities, and commercial real estate.”
“I still like TIPS (Treasury inflation-protected securities), and I think a big opportunity is coming in the municipal bond market.”
“I think partly the decline in the peso was due to worry about renegotiation of NAFTA, but I think we also need to think about some other mechanisms for making the peso/dollar exchange rate a bit more stable.”
“If trade deficits are good, why is China so pleased that they run a huge trade surplus? It’s perfectly obvious that if China hadn’t been such a huge net-exporter, it never would have grown at the rate that it did.”
“The E.U. is one of our largest trading partners, and any negotiations legally must be conducted at the E.U. level and not with individual nations.”
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